How we figure out delivery days
How Bottle Hunt PA infers the day of the week each FWGS store gets deliveries — and how confident we are.
Most Fine Wine & Good Spirits stores get a truck on a regular weekday — Monday in some markets, Wednesday or Thursday in others. If you know what day your store gets stocked, you know the best day to hunt allocated bottles. Bottle Hunt tries to surface that day for every PA store, with an honest read on how confident we are.
We figure it out two ways. First, we take nightly snapshots of which bottles are in stock at each store and watch when an out-of-stock SKU comes back. A consistent "back in stock on Wednesdays" pattern is a signal of a Wednesday delivery day. Second, hunters who actually see a delivery happen can report what day they saw it from the store page. We combine both signals into a single delivery-day call per store.
Confidence levels
Confidence matters because the data is sparse at first.
- Low — fewer than three pieces of evidence on any one day, or no clear winner. We leave the day blank.
- Medium — at least three pieces of evidence on one day with 60%+ agreement.
- High — at least five pieces of evidence on one day, 75%+ agreement, across two or more calendar weeks.
A wrong delivery day is worse than no delivery day, so we don't fudge it. As more reports and more nightly snapshots come in, the confidence climbs from low → medium → high.
How to help
Spotted a delivery happening? On any store page, the Report a delivery form takes about ten seconds. Reports like yours are how we figure out delivery days — thank you.
If you'd rather hunt the moment something hits the catalog, the drops feed shows what landed today across PA. And to see how the FWGS lottery side of the system fits with delivery days, read how the PA lottery works.